The hype around this season’s Mariners has reached national
proportions. Pundits and experts (i.e. people paid for their opinions, informed
or not) agree, the Mariners are in the top tier of the American League this
season.
If being a lifelong Seattle sports fan has taught me
anything it’s to temper my expectations. In the spirit of not getting into the
spirit, here are eight reasons why the Mariners are going to fall flat on their
face this year.
(Please be aware, this post is meant to be my own devil’s
advocate argument because, full disclosure, I am ALL IN on the M’s this season. They haven’t been in this
good a position to make a postseason run in more than a decade.)
ON TO THE TERRIBLENESS!
1) LF – Last we checked, left field was being locked down by
our ex-future-second baseman Dustin Ackley. Ackley, having failed to live up to
the vaunted expectations surrounding him, has been entrusted to live up to his
potential this year…by being platooned. That’s correct, Ackley will platoon
with another puddle of disappointment, Rickie Weeks, someone who has never
played the OF beyond HIGH SCHOOL and who REFUSED the opportunity to learn the
position as recently as LAST SEASON.
Bust Potential – 273.15°K
2) CF – Austin Jackson will perform everyday duties in
center field. Austin Jackson put up a 51 wRC+ with the Mariners last year.
Austin Jackson’s ISO has been declining steadily for the past three years
(.179, .145, .126). Oops, I’m sorry, I put up Jackson’s most recent ISO with
Detroit; include his time with the M’s and that .126 turns into a .090. Ug. Lee.
Bust Potential – 500 kellicams
3) RF – In right we have another platoon, Seth Smith and
Justin Ruggiano. Because platoons have worked so well for the Mariners in the
past, why not try to resurrect the ghosts of Roberto Petagine and Eduardo Perez.
If Ruggiano doesn’t turn into Casper Wells, this might, MIGHT, turn into a reasonable platoon.
Bust Potential – .4 Morgen
4) 1B – Here we have the ever-reliable Logan Morrison. Logan
Morrison is so inconsistent that candidate Obama and President Obama both give
him a funny look and say, “Dude.” Fer shur he’s got this locked down, right?
And he won’t injure himself with a bat again? Right? #Owie
Bust Potential – 1 Cup of Lomo
5) SS – HOW CAN I APPROPRIATELY THROW SHADE ON THIS POSITION
WHEN WE DON’T KNOW WHO WILL BE PLAYING THIS POSITION? How can people be so
confident that the team will get production from this position when there is no
clear-cut starter? And you cannot say that both candidates are good; both are
UNKNOWN. Taylor, the slick-fielding punch-and-judy hitter or Brad “I’m growing
my hair out so take THAT! Dad” Miller are both so wet behind the ears that
Jason Momoa is hanging out with them in order to ‘get into character.’
Bust Potential – 10 inches, tip to tip
6) 3B – Kyle Seager inked a big boy deal this past
offseason. Now that money has been removed as a motivating factor, let’s hope
he continues his ‘old-school’ ‘grind-it-out’ ‘by all that I really mean he’s white’
ways.
Bust Potential – 550 nanometers
7) C – Mike Zunino hit under the Mendoza Line last year. I
know, AVG isn’t the be-all end-all hitting metric but, gosh, .199 AVG with not
a lotta walks and lots of Ks isn’t great hitting. Ron Fairly – “Why? It means
you’re not putting a lot of wood on the ball, you see.”
Bust Potential – 28 knots
8) DH – Nelson Cruz. Aging sluggers, post-steroid era, are
not typically a good bet. Let’s hope Safeco doesn’t eat him alive and that his
25-30 games in the OF *shudder* don’t end up biting him in the ass.
Bust Potential – 4 dols
RP) Last year was historically great for the Mariners’
bull-pen. RPs are known to be volatile and the pen has lost Beimel and Maurer.
There’s literally no other option than for the bull-pen to be worse this year.
Bust Potential – 1.3 micromorts
There you are. 8 reasons why the Mariners are in a worse position
than you think. Reality checked like
Go M’s.
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